downgrade

adrianc

RUMOUR OF possible downgrade of Eurozone countries at 19.00GMT tonight!(france, austria etc)

be careful!

茄輪王

早已講過當市況好轉D'權威機構'(國際大鱷打手)就會出來搞搞震
而且力度會一次比一次重
皆因好多人已睇穿佢地嘅把戲
所以佢地一定要'落重藥'務求將投資者連膽汁都唧埋出嚟
畢竟喺人心不穩情況下呢D招數依然好受
市場反應過劇散户無奈都要暫避其鋒了

longdongsilver

The market will not react to the downgrade because it has all been discounted.  We should focus if the ECB will continue to provide liquidity to the market.

happyguy321

降級都已變"新常態"！

dao1111

longdongsilver 發表於 2012-1-14 16:40
The market will not react to the downgrade because it has all been discounted.  We should focus if t ...

I agree the market has already discounted the downgrade, and it shouldn't have any effect on the market. I think the market may have even discounted the default of Greece. The focus should be on Italy and Spain. I tend to think the next leg down would be much more painful than last Oct. However, I don't think it will happen in the next two or three months, because too many people know about the debt deadlines in Feb/March and they will do all they can to avoid a major disaster.

3ii

呢度變左英文台

longdongsilver

"呢度變左英文台"

I beg your pardon, I didn't know that English is no longer HK or Sex141's official language and therefore is not welcome.

Please spell it out clearly in the forum's rules.

longdongsilver

To DAO1111:

Are you talking about tech-stock bubble type correction in 2001-2003 or financial crisis correction in 2007-2009, if this is what you are looking for I don't think anyone in the world has the crystal ball to tell you.

But for correction in smaller magnitude like 10-20% can happen anytime; the European crisis is so well known I doubt it would trigger any major sell-off.
The ECB has lent out (printing money like QE II in U.S.) Eur$486 billion to 520 banks in Europe has really lessen the chance of a systemic collapse.
Remember QE II has caused the Dow to run up from 10,000 to 13,000 within 9 months, will history repeat itself again?

NewKids

France is now deep in boiling water. Poor French.

茄輪王

3ii 發表於 2012-1-14 21:55
呢度變左英文台

哈.....
版主應該係戲言一句,
不過有些人就.....

adrianc

seems i have cause some fuss. i will be more careful in posting a thread next time

longdongsilver

No harm done, we are all trying to communicate at the best way we could.

1124330256

I think the effect of such a downgrade will appear in the coming few months
Investors finally will know such a downgrade will hit the EU economies hard

longdongsilver

回覆 1124330256 的帖子

As long as the ECB continues to turn on the spigot, nothing will happen to Europe.

But if the economy of the Eurozone continues to deteriote and hurt its growth, then the stock market will respond negatively.